tren bbri NEH … 240212

BLACK MARUBOZU

Type: Reversal/Continuationhttps://i2.wp.com/www.candlesticker.com/images/22FIG.gif
Relevance: Bearish
Prior Trend: N/A
Reliability: Low
Confirmation: Required
No. of Sticks: 1

 

Definition: The Black Marubozu is a single candlestick pattern characterized by a long black body. It does not have any shadows on either end. It is an extremely strong bearish candlestick pattern.Recognition Criteria:1. A black Marubozu is characterized by not having upper or lower shadows and by its long black body.
2. It shows that the prices moved down all day long after the opening thus forming the long black body.
3. Then the day closes at its lowest level that explains the absence of the lower shadow.Explanation:A Black Marubozu forms when the opening price is equal to the high price of the day while the closing price is equal to the low price of the day. This shows that the sellers controlled the price action from the first trade to the last trade. When a Black Marubozu day occurs, the day opens and prices continue to move down all day long without stopping. It may show continuation of the downtrend or a final sell off attempt before the bulls regain control.

Important Factors:

A Black Marubozu may be the initial phase of a bearish continuation pattern but it may also signal a bullish reversal depending on the preceding day’s candlesticks.

The Black Marubozu is a single candlestick pattern with low reliability. It reflects only one day’s trading with a potential to signal both continuation and reversal. It must be used with other candlesticks for the confirmation of a trend.

https://i1.wp.com/www.candlesticker.com/images/14FIG.gif

WHITE MARUBOZU

Type: Reversal/Continuation
Relevance: Bullish
Prior Trend: N/A
Reliability: Low
Confirmation: Required
No. of Sticks: 1

 

Definition:The White Marubozu is a single candlestick pattern characterized with a long white body having no shadows on either end. It is an extremely strong bullish candlestick pattern.Recognition Criteria:

1. A white Marubozu does not have upper or lower shadows.
2. The day opens and prices continue to go up all day thus forming a long white day with no lower shadow.
3. The day also closes at the high of the day and hence with no upper shadow.

Explanation:A White Marubozu simply means that the opening price is equal to the low price of the day and the closing price is equal to the high price of the day. This shows that the buyers controlled the price action from the first trade to the last trade. In a White Marubozu day, the day opens and prices continue to rally up all day long without looking back. The bulls were very strong during the day at such a degree that it caused some concern among the bears and led them to cover their short positions thus adding fuel to the rally.

Important Factors:

What the White Marubozu says about the future course of the trend depends a lot on the general picture. A White Marubozu can possibly be the first part of a bullish continuation pattern but it may also be interpreted as a bearish reversal candlestick pattern depending on the preceding day’s candlesticks.

The White Marubozu is a single candlestick pattern and consequently it has low reliability. It reflects only one day’s trading and it may show the continuation of the trend but also may indicate reversal. It needs to be used with other candlesticks for a better and healthier judgment about the status of the trend.


pada periode 13 Desember 2011 – 02 Januari 2012 ada satu white marubozu, yang bisa dibilang sesuai dengan teori, sebagai reversal/pembalikan arah menuju periode bullish / tren naek
sedangkan pada periode 20 Januari 2012 – 09 Februari 2012 ada satu black marubozu yang bisa dibilang juga sesuai teori,yaitu masuk periode bearish

namun begitu banyak doji bertebaran sepanjang periode 3 bulan terakhir ini, sehingga ketidakpastian juga dominan; pada saat tren bearish pekan ini, ada satu doji kemarin ini, sehingga tren bearish yang tidak pasti mungkin saja berubah arah
well, teknikalitas itu relatif, liat aja dah 🙂
secara kasar, momentum beli didorong oleh sinyal slow stochastic dan rate of change, walau pun kekuatannya masih rendah, tapi pembalikan arah sedang berlangsung
batas atas bollinger band @7200 bisa menjadi resistensi bwat pergerakan bullish reversal bila memang terjadi
batas bawah bollinger band @6600 bisa menjadi support bwat pergerakan bearish continuity, bila itu yang terjadi

… tuh hari Jum’at 24 Februari 2012, harga saham bbri sempat sentuh support @6600:

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